Signs of an early victory for Sweden..?
Sweden’s Cornelia Jakobs has officially won the OGAE 2022 poll with her song ‘Hold Me Closer’. She has won the poll with 393 points, whilst runner-up and host nation Italy received 387 points – one of the tightest OGAE races in recent years.
Spain, The Netherlands and United Kingdom round off the top five – with 294 points, 218 points and 204 points respectively. It was an exciting race to the finish line, but what does it all mean? Let’s take a look at some historical OGAE data to see how it translates at the contest.
Deciphering the data!
Historically, the OGAE poll has either been an incredibly accurate predictor for the final results or very different!
Last year’s winner Destiny from Malta, did well with the jury, but received only 53 televotes from the public, leaving her in 7th place overall. Whilst Eurovision winners Måneskin finished in 8th place in 2021’s OGAE poll. Does that mean our loveable yellow friends from Norway could clinch the win at this year’s contest?
Or will this year’s OGAE results reflect that of 2018, where the clucking brilliant Netta won with a staggering 456 points – this was of course replicated at the contest in Lisbon when she secured Israel their 4th victory.
Does success at OGAE translate to success at Eurovision?
Sweden’s win at OGAE could spell equal success at this year’s contest. But in the past 10 years, only three winners have been predicted by OGAE. Netta’s ‘Toy’ in 2018, Emmelie de Forest’s ‘Only Teardrops’ in 2013, and Loreen’s ‘Euphoria’ in 2012 were victorious in the OGAE poll of their respective year and took home the trophy at Eurovision.
All other OGAE winners have had varying success at the contest. Does Cornelia’s moderate chance to replicate her OGAE success at Eurovision sound good odds to you? Let us know!
Watch Andy's interview with Cornelia Jakobs at LEP 2022!
Let us know what you think of this year’s OGAE Poll result – and our take on the data from previous years!