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Eurovision 2025 Odds: Sweden Leads, Finland and France on the Rise

May 6, 2025

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As the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 approaches, the betting odds are shaping up to indicate a tight race at the top. Sweden’s KAJ and Austria’s JJ are leading the pack, with France, Finland, and the Netherlands also emerging as strong contenders.

Credit: SRG SSR

🇸🇪 Sweden: KAJ – “Bara Bada Bastu”

Sweden is currently the bookmakers’ favorite, represented by the Finnish-Swedish comedy trio KAJ with their song “Bara Bada Bastu.” This upbeat and eccentric performance blends humor, regional charm, and strong stage presence, resonating well with both fans and analysts. Sweden’s consistency at Eurovision, combined with a clever entry that’s built for both the jury and televote, places them in pole position.

🇦🇹 Austria: JJ – “Wasted Love”

Austria’s JJ has captivated early listeners with “Wasted Love,” a stirring ballad driven by emotional intensity and powerful vocals. This stripped-back entry leans heavily on storytelling and delivery, a move that often performs well in jury voting. JJ’s song has been trending upward, and many see it as a potential dark horse.

🇫🇷 France: Louane – “Maman”

Louane returns to the international stage with “Maman,” a deeply personal track that draws from themes of family, resilience, and empowerment. Her experience as a charting artist in France and her emotive delivery make this entry a strong contender. The entry is seen as one of France’s strongest in recent years. 

🇫🇮 Finland: Erika Vikman – “Ich Komme”

Finland’s Erika Vikman brings “Ich Komme,” a bold and provocative performance that has sparked conversations across Europe. With a blend of disco-pop and assertive lyrics, Vikman’s entry stands out for its unapologetic energy and stage presence. Currently, Finland is among the top contenders, with odds placing them within the top six. 

🇳🇱 Netherlands: Claude – “C’est la vie”

The Netherlands’ Claude brings “C’est la vie,” a pop-friendly track that has been well-received for its catchy melody and relatable lyrics. While not leading the odds, it’s considered a dark horse that could surprise audiences and juries alike.

🏁 Final Thoughts

With the Grand Final set for May 17 at Basel’s St. Jakobshalle, the competition is heating up. Sweden’s KAJ leads the odds, but Austria’s JJ is close behind, making for an exciting showdown. France, Finland, and the Netherlands also present strong entries that could shake up the leaderboard. As always, Eurovision remains unpredictable, and the live performances will be crucial in determining the final outcome. We will know more once the rehearsal’s are finalized. 

Do you believe the odds are correct or are they not seing the entire pictures this year? Are you excited this eurovision is such an open one? Let us know in the comments below.

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